Latest Race Rating Stories
For almost a year, New York Members, their staffs and national political leaders worried, lobbied and kvetched about the deadlocked Congressional redistricting process in the New York Legislature. It was for naught: A federal court, frustrated with the endless delay in the once-a-decade process of redrawing federal lines, stepped in and created its own map, now ensconced in law.
Alaska, California, Hawaii, Nevada, Oregon and Washington
Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Utah and Wyoming
Arizona, New Mexico, Oklahoma and Texas
Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota and South Dakota
Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio and Wisconsin
Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee and Virginia
Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania and West Virginia
Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island and Vermont
In our November Election Preview, we wrote that we expected several Members on this list wouldn’t make the next one because of retirements. Sure enough, Reps. Heath Shuler (D-N.C.), Dan Burton (R-Ind.) and David Dreier (R-Calif.) all decided to call it quits.
Writing an analysis calculating the final result of redistricting is a little like putting a sign on your back that reads “kick me.” No matter how methodical and dispassionate you try to be, you are forced to make plenty of subjective judgments, guaranteeing that you will be second-guessed by just about everyone.
College basketball and the dawn of spring are hardly the only highlights of March. Congressional primaries are now in full swing, and the outcomes of key races could decide control of the Senate in November.
Florida picked up two new seats in reapportionment because of population growth. The GOP-led redraw of districts, coupled with a game of musical chairs among Members, has left a handful of open seats.
Late last year, Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Steve Israel (N.Y.) said the party’s “path to 25 seats flows straight through Florida.” Right now, under a Republican-drawn map signed into law this month, Democrats are likely to pick up only two seats and put a handful of others in play, netting two to four seats in the Sunshine State in November.
Democrats lost big in New Jersey redistricting this cycle.
